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Model the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 propagation with public health intervention
Dejen Mamo
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.22.20075184
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.22.20075184v1
In this work, a researcher develop SHEIQRD (Susceptible-Stay at home-Exposed-Infected-Quarantine-Recovery-Death) coronavirus pandemic spread model. The disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are calculated and analyzed. The basic reproductive number ℛ0 is derived and its sensitivity analysis is done. COVID-19 pandemic spread is die out when ℛ0 ≤ 1 and its persist in the community whenever ℛ0 > 1. Efficient stay at home rate, high coverage of precise identification and isolation of expose and infected individuals, and redaction of transmission and stay at home return rate can be mitigate the pandemics. Finally, theoretical analysis and numerical results are consistent.
bioRxiv
25-04-2020
Preimpreso
Inglés
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Aparece en las colecciones: Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos

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