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Covid19, 2020 - On the number of infected cases and the effective reproduction rate | |
Isaac Meilijson | |
Acceso Abierto | |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.13.20130468 | |
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.13.20130468v5 | |
he SIR differential equations in Epidemiology are re-examined in the context of Covid19, 2020. The number of recovered cases is calibrated in time, and the number of infected cases is derived by a linear regression equation. Emphasis is placed on the adaptive assessment of the effective reproduction rate R0, especially in countries with under-reported recovered cases. Analysis is applied to the Covid19 2020 data of a number of countries, as reported by the Johns Hopkins University data repository. Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. Funding Statement No external funding Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: Not relevant All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. | |
bioRxiv | |
04-10-2020 | |
Preimpreso | |
Inglés | |
Público en general | |
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
Aparece en las colecciones: | Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos |
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