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Nearly Perfect Forecasting of the Total COVID-19 Cases in India: A Numerical Approach
HEMANTA BARUAH
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.13.20130096
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.13.20130096v1
There are standard computational and statistical techniques of forecasting the spread pattern of a pandemic. In this article, we are going to show how close the forecasts can be if we use a simple numerical approach that can be worked out using just a scientific calculator. Using a few recent data, short term forecasts can be found very easily. In this numerical technique, we need not make any assumptions, unlike in the cases of using computational and statistical methods. Such numerical forecasts would be nearly perfect unless the pandemic suddenly starts retarding during the period of the forecasts naturally or otherwise.
bioRxiv
13-06-2020
Preimpreso
Inglés
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Aparece en las colecciones: Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos

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