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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/8818
COVID-19 and climate: global evidence from 117 countries | |
Simiao Chen Klaus Prettner Michael Kuhn Pascal Geldsetzer Chen Wang Till Bärnighausen David Bloom | |
Acceso Abierto | |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.04.20121863 | |
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.04.20121863v1 | |
Visual inspection of world maps shows that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is less prevalent in countries closer to the equator, where heat and humidity tend to be higher. Scientists disagree how to interpret this observation because the relationship between COVID-19 and climatic conditions may be confounded by many factors. We regress confirmed COVID-19 cases per million inhabitants in a country against the country’s distance from the equator, controlling key confounding factors: air travel, distance to Wuhan, testing intensity, cell phone usage, vehicle concentration, urbanization, and income. A one-degree increase in absolute latitude is associated with a 2.6% increase in cases per million inhabitants (p value < 0.001). The Northern hemisphere may see a decline in new COVID-19 cases during summer and a resurgence during winter. One Sentence Summary An increase in absolute latitude by one degree is associated with a 2.6% increase in COVID-19 cases per million inhabitants after controlling for several important factors. | |
bioRxiv | |
05-06-2020 | |
Preimpreso | |
Inglés | |
Público en general | |
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
Aparece en las colecciones: | Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos |
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