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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/8760| The impact of the undetected COVID-19 cases on its transmission dynamics | |
| SUJATA SAHA Sumanta Saha | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
| https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.30.20117838 | |
| https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.30.20117838v1 | |
| Objective The COVID-19 pandemic is currently ongoing. Presently, due to the unavailability of a definitive vaccine to decrease its acquiring, it’s essential to understand its transmissibility in the community by undetected cases to control its transmission. This study aims to study this context using mathematical modelling. Methods A COVID-19 transmission model was framed that estimated the basic reproduction number (R0, a measurement of disease risk) using the next-generation method. It explored the contribution of exposed and infected (detected and undetected) individuals, and environmental pathogen to the overall risk of infection spreading, utilizing the publicly reported data of this infection in Maharashtra between March 22, 2020, and May 4, 2020. A sensitivity analysis was performed to study the effect of a rising number of undetected cases to R0. | |
| bioRxiv | |
| 03-06-2020 | |
| Preimpreso | |
| Inglés | |
| Público en general | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Versión publicada | |
| publishedVersion - Versión publicada | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos |
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| The impact of the undetected COVID-19 cases on its transmission dynamics.pdf | 96.95 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |