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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/8232| CoViD–19: An Automatic, Semiparametric Estimation Method for the Population Infected in Italy | |
| Fenga Livio | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
| https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.14.20036103 | |
| https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.14.20036103v1 | |
| To date, official data on the number of people infected with the SARS-CoV-2 - responsible for the CoViD–19 - have been released by the Italian Government just on the basis of a non representative sample of population which tested positive for the swab. However a reliable estimation of the number of infected, including asymptomatic people, turns out to be crucial in the preparation of operational schemes and to estimate the future number of people, who will require, to different extents, medical attentions. In order to overcome the current data shortcoming, this paper proposes a bootstrap–driven, estimation procedure for the number of people infected with the SARS-CoV-2. This method is designed to be robust, automatic and suitable to generate estimations at regional level. Obtained results show that, while official data at March the 12th report 12.839 cases in Italy, people infected wiyh the SARS-CoV-2 could be as high as 105.789. Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. Funding Statement no funds Author Declarations All relevant ethical guidelines have been followed; any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained and details of the IRB/oversight body are included in the manuscript. | |
| bioRxiv | |
| 18-03-2020 | |
| Preimpreso | |
| Inglés | |
| Público en general | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos |
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| CoViD–19_ An Automatic, Semiparametric Estimation Method for the Population Infected in Italy.pdf | 597.97 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |