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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/8076| Is Covid-19 Mortality “Like the Flu”? A Cumulative Death Rates Comparison | |
| Jessie Himmelstern Elizabeth Wrigley-Field | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
| https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.04.24.23289045 | |
| https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.04.24.23289045v1 | |
| ABSTRACT It has been common both to make and to resist comparisons that equate the Covid-19 pandemic to influenza. We take the comparison between Covid-19 and flu seriously by asking how many years of influenza and pneumonia deaths are needed for cumulative deaths to those two causes to equal the cumulative toll of the Covid-19 pandemic between March 2020 and February 2023—that is, three years of pandemic deaths. We find that in one state alone—Hawaii—three years of Covid-19 mortality is equivalent to influenza and pneumonia mortality in the three years preceding the Covid-19 pandemic. For all other states, at least nine years of flu and pneumonia are needed to match Covid-19; for the United States as a whole, seventeen years are needed; and for four states, more than 21 years (the maximum observable) are needed. These results provide an easy-to-understand calibration of flu as a heuristic for Covid-19, and vice versa. | |
| bioRxiv | |
| 26-04-2023 | |
| Preimpreso | |
| Inglés | |
| Público en general | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos |
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| Fichero | Tamaño | Formato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Is Covid-19 Mortality.pdf | 654.51 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |