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Modelling the viral dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants in different cell types
Clare McCormack
Ada Yan
Jonathan Brown
Ksenia Sukhova
Thomas Peacock
Wendy Barclay
Ilaria Dorigatti
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.03.15.529513
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.03.15.529513v3
Abstract We use viral kinetic models fitted to viral load data from in vitro studies to explain why the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant replicates faster than the Delta variant in nasal cells, but slower than Delta in lung cells, which could explain Omicron’s higher transmission potential and lower severity. We find that in both nasal and lung cells, viral infectivity is higher for Omicron but the virus production rate is higher for Delta. However, the differences are unequal between cell types, and ultimately leads to the basic reproduction number and growth rate being higher for Omicron in nasal cells, and higher for Delta in lung cells. In nasal cells, Omicron alone can enter via a TMPRSS2-independent pathway, but it is primarily increased efficiency of TMPRSS2-dependent entry which accounts for Omicron’s increased activity. This work paves the way for using within-host mathematical models to understand the transmission potential and severity of future variants.
bioRxiv
04-04-2023
Preimpreso
Inglés
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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