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A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy
Bruno BUONOMO
Alberto d'Onofrio
Rossella Della Marca
Maria Groppi
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.06.22.21259324
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.22.21259324v1
In this paper we introduce a compartmental epidemic model describing the transmission of the COVID-19 disease in presence of non-mandatory vaccination. The model takes into account the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination. To this aim, we employ the information index, which mimics the idea that individuals take their decision on vaccination based not only on the present but also on the past information about the spread of the disease. Theoretical analysis and simulations show clearly as a voluntary vaccination can certainly reduce the impact of the disease but it is unable to eliminate it. We also show how the information-related parameters affect the dynamics of the disease. In particular, the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination is better contained in case of large information coverage and small memory characteristic time. Finally, the possible influence of seasonality is also investigated.
medRxiv and bioRxiv
25-06-2021
Preimpreso
www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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