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An estimate of total active cases of COVID-19 based on number of announced deaths in a given region
Santos, Sony.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.5281/zenodo.3724835
Considering the exponential nature of the spread of COVID-19, the Infected Fatality Rate, and the mean time to death, it is possible to estimate a more realist number of total active cases – in contrast to the reported confirmed cases – based on the number of deaths announced in a given day in a region. In an example we have the number of active cases estimated in 1600 times the number of new deaths in that day. This can be useful to provide better resouce allocations.
zenodo.org
2020
Artículo
https://zenodo.org/api/files/fe36837a-b66b-44d2-8fe7-a48cd302b166/Realistic%20number%20of%20cases-01.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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