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Calibrating an Epidemic Compartment Model to Seroprevalence Survey Data
Michael Halem
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.27.20110478
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.27.20110478v1
To date, the Covid-19 epidemic has produced tremendous cost and harm. However, to date, many epidemic models are not calibrated to seroprevalence survey(s). This paper calibrates a relatively simple, SIR plus confirmed cases (“SIRX”) model against seroprevalence survey data released by the State of New York. The intention of this paper is to demonstrate a potentially new technique of calibration for epidemic models used by scientists, public health officials and governments. The technique can then be incorporated in other more complex models. Open source code is included to assist model developers.
bioRxiv
03-06-2020
Preimpreso
Inglés
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Aparece en las colecciones: Materiales de Consulta y Comunicados Técnicos

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