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Estimation of the onset rate and the number of asymptomatic patients of COVID-19 from the proportion of untraceable patients
Takashi Odagaki
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261241
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.28.21261241v1
A simple method is devised to estimate the onset rate of COVID-19 from the proportion of untraceable patients tested positive, which allows us to obtain the number of asymptomatic patients, the number of infectious patients and the effective reproduction number. The recent data in Tokyo indicate that there are about six times as many infectious patients in the city as the daily confirmed new cases. It is shown that a quarantine measure on non-symptomatic patients is critically important in controlling the pandemic.
medRxiv and bioRxiv
30-07-2021
Preimpreso
www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
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