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Estimating the total morbidity burden of COVID-19
Maia Phillips Smith
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.04.20.21255818
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.04.20.21255818v1
Background Calculations of disease burden of COVID-19 are used to allocate scarce resources and historically have focused on mortality, with little attention to morbidity such as postviral ‘post-COVID,’ similar to chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), which strikes 4 and 16% of male and female survivors. This paper quantifies post-COVID disability burden and combines it with case fatality to estimate total morbidity per COVID-19 case. Methods Healthy life years lost per COVID-19 case were computed as the sum of (incidence*disability weight*remaining lifespan) for death and post-COVID (modeled as CFS) by sex and 10-year age category. In addition to death, the main model considered lifelong mild, moderate or severe CFS; Model 2, CFS which resolved in ten years; Model 3, no CFS but 10% risk of death 10 years later.
medRxiv and bioRxiv
24-04-2021
Preimpreso
www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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