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Compartmental and cellular automaton SEIRS epidemiology models for the COVID-19 pandemic with the effects of temporal immunity and vaccination
Jaroslav Ilnytskyi
Taras Patsahan
Acceso Abierto
Atribución
arXiv:2112.02661
https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.02661
We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this model, we found the disease-free and the endemic stationary states. They exist in their respective restricted regions of the le via linear stability analysis. The expression for the basic reproductive number is obtained as well. The positions and heights of a first peak for the fractions of infected individuals are obtained numerically and are fitted to simple algebraic forms, that depend on model rates. Computer simulations of a lattice-based realization for this model was performed by means of the cellular automaton algorithm. These allowed to study the effect of the quarantine measures explicitly, via changing the neighbourhood size. The attempt is made to match both quarantine and vaccination measures aimed on balanced solution for effective suppression of the pandemic.
Cornell University
05-12-2021
Preimpreso
arxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Investigadores
Público en general
OTRAS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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