Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/7252
Global Monitoring of the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic through Online Surveys Sampled from the Facebook User Base
Christina Astley
Gaurav Tuli
Kimberly Mc Cord
Emily Cohn
Benjamin Rader
Samantha Chiu
Kathleen Stewart
Kristina M. Barkume
Sarah LaRocca
Katherine Morris
Frauke Kreuter
John Brownstein
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.07.05.21259989
Simultaneously tracking the global COVID-19 impact across multiple populations is challenging due to regional variation in resources and reporting. Leveraging self-reported survey outcomes via an existing international social media network has the potential to provide reliable and standardized data streams to support monitoring and decision-making world-wide, in real time, and with limited local resources. The University of Maryland Global COVID Trends and Impact Survey (UMD-CTIS), in partnership with Facebook, invites daily cross-sectional samples from the social media platform's active users to participate in the survey since launch April 23, 2020. COVID-19 indicators through December 20, 2020, from N=31,142,582 responses representing N=114 countries, weighted for nonresponse and adjusted to basic demographics, were benchmarked with government data. COVID-19-related signals showed similar concordance with reported benchmark case and test positivity. Bonferroni significance and minimal Spearman correlation strength thresholds were met in the majority. Light Gradient Boost machine learning trained on national and pooled global data verified known symptom indicators, and predicted COVID-19 trends similar to other signals. Risk mitigation behavior trends are correlated with, but sometimes lag, risk perception trends. In regions with strained health infrastructure, but active social media users, we show it is possible to define suitable COVID-19 impact trajectories. This syndromic surveillance public health tool is the largest global health survey to date, and, with brief participant engagement, can provide meaningful, timely insights into the COVID-19 pandemic and response in regions under-represented in epidemiological analyses.
medrxiv
05-07-2021
Preimpreso
https://www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
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