Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/7077
All-cause mortality among patients treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics for COVID-19 in Mexico City: A Real-World Observational Study
JAVIER MANCILLA GALINDO
Jorge Óscar García Méndez
Jessica Márquez Sánchez
Rodrigo Estefano Reyes Casarrubias
Eduardo Aguirre Aguilar
HECTOR ISAAC ROCHA GONZALEZ
ASHUIN KAMMAR GARCIA
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.13.20211797
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.13.20211797v2
Aim: To evaluate all-cause mortality risk in patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19 in Mexico City treated with repurposed antivirals and antibiotics. Methods: This real-world retrospective cohort study contemplated 395,343 patients evaluated for suspected COVID-19 between February 24 and September 14, 2020 in 688 primary-to-tertiary medical units in Mexico City. Patients were included with a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2; those receiving unspecified antivirals, excluded; and antivirals prescribed in <30 patients, eliminated. Survival and mortality risks were determined for patients receiving antivirals, antibiotics, both, or none. Results: 136,855 patients were analyzed; mean age 44.2 (SD:16.8) years; 51.3% were men. 16.6% received antivirals (3%), antibiotics (10%), or both (3.6%). Antivirals studied were Oseltamivir (n=8414), Amantadine (n=319), Lopinavir-Ritonavir (n=100), Rimantadine (n=61), Zanamivir (n=39), and Acyclovir (n=36). Survival with antivirals (73.7%, p<0.0001) and antibiotics (85.8%, p<0.0001) was lower than no antiviral/antibiotic (93.6%). After multivariable adjustment, increased risk of death occurred with antivirals (HR=1.72, 95%CI:1.61-1.84) in ambulatory (HR=4.7, 95%CI:3.94-5.62) and non-critical (HR=2.03, 95%CI:1.86-2.21) patients. Oseltamivir increased mortality risk in the general population (HR=1.72, 95%CI:1.61-1.84), ambulatory (HR=4.79, 95%CI:4.01-5.75), non-critical (HR=2.05, 95%CI:1.88-2.23), and pregnancy (HR=8.35, 95%CI:1.77-39.30); as well as hospitalized (HR=1.13, 95%CI:1.01-1.26) and critical patients (HR:1.22, 95%CI:1.05-1.43) after propensity score-matching. Antibiotics were a risk factor in general population (HR=1.13, 95%CI:1.08-1.19) and pediatrics (HR=4.22, 95%CI:2.01-8.86), but a protective factor in hospitalized (HR=0.81, 95%CI:0.77-0.86) and critical patients (HR=0.67, 95%CI:0.63- 0.72). Conclusions: No significant benefit for repurposed antivirals was observed; oseltamivir was associated with increased mortality. Antibiotics increased mortality risk in the general population but may increase survival in hospitalized and critical patients.
medRxiv and bioRxiv
01-01-2021
Preimpreso
www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
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