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Direct Simulation of the CoVid-19 epidemic
AUGUSTO CABRERA BECERRIL
Raúl Peralta
Pedro Miramontes
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249829
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249829v1.full.pdf+html
We introduce an agent-based model to simulate the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19. Most computational models proposed to study this epidemic do no take into account human mobility. We present a direct simulation model where mobility plays a key role and propose as well four quarantine strategies. The results show that the no-quarantine strategy does lead to a high peak of contagions with no rebound. Quarantined strategies, for their part, show a re-emergence of the epidemic with smaller and softer peaks.
medRxiv and bioRxiv
15-01-2021
Preimpreso
www.medrxiv.org
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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