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Direct Simulation of the CoVid-19 epidemic | |
AUGUSTO CABRERA BECERRIL Raúl Peralta Pedro Miramontes | |
Acceso Abierto | |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249829 | |
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.01.14.21249829v1.full.pdf+html | |
We introduce an agent-based model to simulate the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19. Most computational models proposed to study this epidemic do no take into account human mobility. We present a direct simulation model where mobility plays a key role and propose as well four quarantine strategies. The results show that the no-quarantine strategy does lead to a high peak of contagions with no rebound. Quarantined strategies, for their part, show a re-emergence of the epidemic with smaller and softer peaks. | |
medRxiv and bioRxiv | |
15-01-2021 | |
Preimpreso | |
www.medrxiv.org | |
Inglés | |
Epidemia COVID-19 | |
Público en general | |
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
Versión publicada | |
publishedVersion - Versión publicada | |
Aparece en las colecciones: | Artículos científicos |
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Direct simulation of the covid-19 Epidemic.pdf | 724.17 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |