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On the increasing role of older adolescents and younger adults during the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Mexico, April 20 – May 24, 2020
DALIA STERN SOLODKIN
MARTIN LAJOUS LOAEZA
Edward Goldstein
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.10.20127795
Background: The SARSCoV2 epidemic in Mexico is growing, and there is uncertainty regarding the role that different age groups play in propagating the epidemic. Methods: We used data on hospitalizations with confirmed SARSCoV2 infection from the Mexican Ministry of Health in ten 5-year age groups: 10 to 14 through 55 to 59 years. For each age group g, we computed the proportion E(g) of individuals in that age group among all hospitalized cases aged 10-59 years during the early period (between April 20 to May 3, 2020), the corresponding proportion L(g) during the later periods (May 11 to 24), as well as the relative risk RR(g)= L(g)/E(g). For each pair of age groups g1,g2, RR(g1)>RR(g2) is interpreted as a relative increase in SARSCoV2 infections in the age group g1 compared with g2 for the later vs. early period. Results: The highest RR estimates belong to persons aged 15 to 19 years (RR=1.93(95% CI (1.19,3.12)) and 20 to 24 years (RR=1.40(1.07,1.83)). The RR estimates in persons aged over 30 years were significantly lower compared to persons aged 15-24 years. Conclusions: Our results suggest a temporal increase in the incidence of SARSCoV2 infection in older adolescents and younger adults compared to other age groups. Targeted interventions, particularly public health messaging at those age groups to increase knowledge and risk awareness may be considered.
www.medrxiv.org
12-06-2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.10.20127795v1.full.pdf+html
Inglés
Epidemia COVID-19
Público en general
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Versión publicada
publishedVersion - Versión publicada
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