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Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data.
Zhuang, Z
Zhao, S
Lin, Q
Cao, P
Lou, Y
Yang, L
He, D
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
As of 1 March 2020, Iran has reported 987 COVID-19 cases and including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan and Pakistan) have reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. We used air travel data and the cases from Iran to other Middle East countries and estimated 16533 (95% CI: 5925, 35538) COVID-19 cases in Iran by 25 February, before UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran.
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
2020
Preimpreso
https://coronavirus.1science.com/item/e4393405130dceced1225c8c2720903a9c8c383d
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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