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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/6427| How quarantine and social distancing policy can suppress the outbreak of novel coronavirus in developing or under poverty level countries: a mathematical and statistical analysis. | |
| Chowdhury Atiqur. Kabir Ariful. Tanimoto Jun. | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
| 10.21203/rs.3.rs-20294/v1 | |
| Background: Novel coronavirus was named as SARS-CoV-2 is a transmissible viral disease that has rapidly stroke around the world and is currently a major thread for developing and under poverty level countries by the World Bank and WHO's prediction. Without inventing vaccination or the proper treatment, how we control a faster infectious disease like SARS-CoV-2 or COVID-19 is one of the most admitted questions with which our developed civilization faces right now.At the same time, some policies termed as isolation", quarantine",lock-down" and social distancing" would give a stunning direction to control the epidemic outbreak. Methods: In this paper, we developed a novel theoretical model named Social Distancing SEIQR model" to control the spread of infection by combining both quarantine and social distancing explicitly based on the real cases that observed where medical equipment and others resources are limited.Results: Our modelling basic reproduction number R0 is almost accurate predictor threshold to assess the transmissibility of the COVID-19 in Bangladesh.A linear regression polynomial fit result showed that our model fitted well to the reported COVID-19 cases data for Bangladesh.Conclusion: Our model will help to nd some strong strategies for controlling faster from spreading the virus and protect the nation when a country has limited medical resources. | |
| assets.researchsquare.com | |
| 2020 | |
| Artículo | |
| https://assets.researchsquare.com/files/rs-20294/v1/Manuscript.pdf | |
| Inglés | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Artículos científicos |
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