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Negligible Risk of the COVID-19 Resurgence Caused by Work Resuming in China (outside Hubei): a Statistical Probability Study
XINMIAO FU.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.03.26.20044271
The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late February 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities, and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
Journal of public health (Oxford, England)
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.26.20044271v1.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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