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Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: a Boltzmann Function-based Modeling Study
Long, Cheng.
Ying, Qi.
Fu, Xinmiao.
Li, Zhongyan.
Gao, Yuanyuan.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.03.02.20030064
The COVID-19 outbreak is on-going in China. Here we estimated the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in China, outside Hubei (in China), Hubei Province, Wuhan City and outside Wuhan (in Hubei) by Boltzmann function-based analyses, which are 3342 (95% CI, 3214, 3527), 111 (109, 114), 3245 (3100, 3423), 2613 (2498, 2767) and 627 (603, 654), respectively. The results may help to evaluate the severity of COVID-19 outbreaks and facilitate timely mental service for the families of passed patients.
Infection Control & Hospital Epidemiology
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.02.20030064v3.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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