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Can the COVID-19 epidemic be managed on the basis of daily data?
Francesco Casella.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.06967v1.pdf
Short answer: not much, and only with an overly cautious approach. The paper presents a simple mathematical model of the process and uses well-known results from control theory to prove that the approach taken by China and, to a slightly lesser extent, by Italy can work if the effect of delays is accounted for when taking the decision of the country lockdown, while the approach currently announced in the UK is likely to fail.
arxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.06967v1.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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