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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/4474| Estimation of Basic Reproduction Number of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Denmark using a Two-Step Model | |
| Jan Brink Valentin. | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
| https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.09775v2.pdf | |
| Objective: To conduct an early estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number (BRN) induced by government interference, and to project resulting day to day number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths in a Danish setting. Method: We used the Kermack and McKendrick model with varying basic reproduction number to estimate number infected and age stratified percentages to estimate number of in-patients, ICU-patients and cumulative number of deaths. Changes in basic reproduction number was estimated based on current in-patient numbers. Results: The basic reproductive number in the time period of February 27th to March 18th was found to be 2.65, however, this number was reduced to 1.99 after March 18th. Keywords: COVID-19, basic reproduction number, Danish population | |
| arxiv.org | |
| 2020 | |
| Artículo | |
| https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.09775v2.pdf | |
| Inglés | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Artículos científicos |
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| Fichero | Tamaño | Formato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1106636.pdf | 1.01 MB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |