Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/4236
Initial Simulation of SARS-CoV2 Spread and Intervention Effects in the Continental US
Pei Sen.
Shaman Jeffrey.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.03.21.20040303
Here we use a metapopulation model applied at county resolution to simulate the spread and growth of COVID-19 incidence in the continental United States. We calibrate the model against county-level incidence data collected between February 21, 2020 and March 13, 2020, and estimate epidemiological parameters including the fraction of undocumented infections and their contagiousness1. Using the calibrated model, we project the outbreak in the continental US for 180 days after March 13, 2020, and evaluate the effects of social distancing and travel restrictions on the outbreak.
www.medrxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/03/23/2020.03.21.20040303.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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