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Estimating number of cases and spread of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United Kingdom using critical care admissions, February to March 2020
Jit Mark.
Jombart Thibaut.
Nightingale Emily.
Endo Akira.
Abbott Sam.
Edmunds William John.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.04.05.20054528
An exponential growth model was fitted to critical care admissions from multiple surveillance databases to determine likely COVID-19 case numbers and growth in the United Kingdom from 16 February - 23 March 2020, after which a national lockdown occurred. We estimate that on 23 March, there were 102,000 (median; 95% credible interval 54,000 - 155,000) new cases and 320 (211 - 412) new critical care reports, with 464,000 (266,000 - 628,000) cumulative cases since 16 February.
www.medrxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/04/07/2020.04.05.20054528.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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