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The Effectiveness of Targeted Quarantine for Minimising Impact of COVID-19
Jamieson-Lane Alastair D.
Cytrnbaum Eric.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.04.01.20049692
We model the extent to which age targeted quarantine can be used to reduce ICU admissions caused by novel coronavirus COVID-19. Using demographic data from New Zealand, we demonstrate that lowering the age threshold for quarantine to 50 years of age reduces ICU admissions drastically, and show that for sufficiently strict isolation protocols, isolating one third of the countries population for a total of 6 months is sufficient to avoid overwhelming ICU capacity throughout the entire course of the epidemic. Similar results are expected to hold for other countries, though some minor adaption will be required based on local age demographics and hospital facilities.
www.medrxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/04/03/2020.04.01.20049692.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
Aparece en las colecciones: Artículos científicos

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