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COVID-19 in Children in the United States: Intensive Care Admissions, Estimated Total Infected, and Projected Numbers of Severe Pediatric Cases in 2020.
EB Pathak.
JL Salemi.
N Sobers.
J Menard.
IR Hambleton.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1097/PHH.0000000000001190
IMPORTANCE:A surge in severe cases of COVID-19 in children would present unique challenges for hospitals and public health preparedness efforts in the United States. OBJECTIVE:To provide evidence-based estimates of children infected with SARS-CoV-2 and projected cumulative numbers of severely ill pediatric COVID-19 cases requiring hospitalization during the US 2020 pandemic. DESIGN:Empirical case projection study MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:: Adjusted pediatric severity proportions and adjusted pediatric criticality proportions were derived from clinical and spatiotemporal modelling studies of the COVID-19 epidemic in China for the period Jan-Feb 2020. Estimates of total children infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the US through April 6, 2020 were calculated using US pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) cases and the adjusted pediatric criticality proportion. Projected numbers of severely and critically ill children with COVID-19 were derived by applying the adjusted severity and criticality proportions to US population data, under several scenarios of cumulative pediatric infection proportion (CPIP). RESULTS:By April 6, 2020, there were 74 children who had been reported admitted to PICUs in 19 states, reflecting an estimated 176 190 children nationwide infected with SARS-CoV-2 (52 381 infants and toddlers
Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP
2020
Artículo
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7172976/pdf/main.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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