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COVID-19 pandemic: A Hill type mathematical model predicts the US death number and the reopening date
Yasser Aboelkassem.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.04.12.20062893
A mathematical model that can be used to estimate the total number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 pandemic is presented in this study. The parameters and the associated uncertainty in the model are optimized and quantified using various reported data sets reported from different countries. The results suggest that, by the mid of June or early July 2020, the outbreak will strongly decay and the US will have about 800K confirmed cases and less than 50K deaths.
www.medrxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.12.20062893v1.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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