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Estimating the presymptomatic transmission of COVID19 using incubation period and serial interval data
Weituo Zhang.
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
10.1101/2020.04.02.20051318
We estimated the fraction and timing of presymptomatic transmissions of COVID19 with mathematical models combining the available data of the incubation period and serial interval. We found that up to 79.7% transmissions could be presymptomatic among the imported cases in China outside Wuhan. The average timing of presymptomatic transmissions is 3.8 days (SD = 6.1) before the symptom onset, which is much earlier than previously assumed.
www.medrxiv.org
2020
Artículo
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051318v1.full.pdf
Inglés
VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS
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