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http://conacyt.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1000/173| Simple Mathematics on Covid-19 Expansion | |
| Javier Garcia de Abajo | |
| Novel Coronavirus | |
| Acceso Abierto | |
| Sin Derechos Reservados | |
| 10.1101/2020.03.17.20037663 | |
| We review the Kermack and McKendrick model of epidemics and apply it to Covid-19. Despite the simplicity of this model, solid conclusions are extracted that can assist potential decisions on the strategy to combat the outbreak, essentially configuring a scenario ranging from short-term suppression to long-term mitigation depending on the achieved reduction in the contact number. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement NA ### Author Declarations All relevant ethical guidelines have been followed; any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained and details of the IRB/oversight body are included in the manuscript. Yes All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. Yes All data are contained in the write up of the paper. | |
| Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press | |
| 2020 | |
| Preimpreso | |
| https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.17.20037663v1 | |
| Inglés | |
| VIRUS RESPIRATORIOS | |
| Aparece en las colecciones: | Artículos científicos |
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| Simple mathematics on COVID.pdf | 491.22 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |